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Hello ESTers!


It's a new year and a new InsideMENA.


We’re excited to kick off 2026 with a renewed edition of your bi-monthly snapshot of the key political, social, and cultural developments shaping the Middle East and North Africa, with an eye on Europe and the wider world.


We’re relaunching our culture section, InsideCulture — a space where music, film, writing, and digital voices from across the MENA region take center stage. From what people are listening to and watching, to new books and must-read pieces on the region, this is where culture speaks for itself. 


Ready to dive in? Let’s go InsideMENA!


P.S. Reading this on our website? Subscribe to get InsideMENA straight to your inbox every fortnight.


Edited by Clarice Agostini and Jesse Woche



Note that the information, views and opinions set out in the newsletter are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the opinion or position of the editors, of the European Student ThinkTank, and of their affiliated-entities or institutions.



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The Regime's Brutality and the Price of Freedom in Iran

By a Voice from Iran

Two thousand, twelve thousand, twenty thousand, and potentially more…
These are not just numbers. They are dreams that were destroyed, hopes that were crushed, and precious lives that were lost.


Since December 28, 2025, the brave people of Iran have revolted against a government that, for 47 years, has brought nothing but hatred, discrimination, drought, poverty, corruption, violence, and oppression to the people it oversees. They only demanded their rights. They raised their voices for their needs. They cried out the pain and anger they had held inside for years. But the Islamic regime answered them with extreme brutality—with bullets.


Bullets that hit the hearts and bodies of protesters—regardless of age, sex, or occupation. Among them were families. Among them were Iranians who had moved abroad to live the life they deserved. These bullets wounded not only bodies, but also the souls of the survivors and the entire Iranian nation, creating a deep inner pain.


But this was not the end. Starting January 8, the Islamic regime shut down the internet and all other means of communication to hide its crimes from the eyes of the world. Now, millions of Iranians inside and outside the country are worried about their loved ones. For those whose only comfort was seeing their loved ones on a screen, the regime even took away this small relief.


Yet the people of Iran have never lost hope, because they have each other. Fars, Azeri, Kurd, Baloch, Arab, Lur, and many others—it does not matter. Shia, Sunni, Christian, Jewish, Yarsan, and many others—it does not matter. They continue to stand for freedom and dignity until the very last moment of salvation.

Burkina Faso: Foiled Coup Attempt Highlights the Fragility of Military Transitions

By Jordi

Foiled Coup. In early January 2026, Burkina Faso’s authorities announced the disruption of an attempted coup targeting the military-led government of Captain Ibrahim Traoré. According to official statements relayed by international media, several soldiers were arrested, and the alleged plot was linked to networks close to former transitional president Paul-Henri Sandaogo Damiba. The announcement triggered heightened security measures and public demonstrations in Ouagadougou, reflecting both the tense political atmosphere and the mobilisation of popular support around the current leadership, at a critical point of transition.


Internal fractures. Beyond the security response, the episode exposes deeper structural vulnerabilities within Burkina Faso’s political and military system. Persistent jihadist violence, economic pressure, and internal rivalries within the armed forces continue to undermine stability. While authorities framed the episode as evidence of state vigilance and control, repeated allegations of destabilisation attempts suggest that military governance has struggled to translate security legitimacy into durable political cohesion. Instead, political contestation increasingly appears to be unfolding within the security apparatus itself, rather than through civilian institutions.


Rethinking external engagement in Sahel. The case reflects a broader Sahelian trend: security-driven transitions without inclusive political frameworks remain inherently fragile. For regional and international actors, including the African Union and the European Union, the challenge lies in moving beyond reactive responses to coup allegations towards long-term institutional rebuilding, civilian participation, and credible transition timelines. Without this shift, cycles of attempted takeovers risk perpetuating, rather than resolving, deeper governance crises across the Sahel.

Phase Two of the Gaza 'Peace' Plan

By Hannah

Phase two begins. Earlier this week, discussions began in Cairo for the second phase of the Gaza ceasefire, in which the focus is to shift towards the long-term governance and rebuilding of the Strip. One of the key elements of this phase is the establishment of a committee of Palestinian technocrats who are to lead the transition of post-genocide Gaza. This committee would be under the overall supervision of the so-called ‘Board of Peace’ headed by U.S. President Donald Trump.


This next phase will not be easy. Other steps in phase two include the disarmament of Palestinian armed groups within Gaza, including Hamas, and the withdrawal of Israeli troops, both of which are reluctant to take this step. 


An incomplete phase one. There has also been speculation about what it means to move to phase two when much of phase one is yet to be delivered. First, Israel has repeatedly violated the ceasefire, with over 450 Palestinians killed since it came into place. Additionally, Israel has continued to restrict aid into Gaza and has banned more than three dozen international organisations from operating within the Strip, worsening the already difficult conditions. Finally, they have refused to open the Rafah crossing, preventing the access of vital aid and medicine.

Humanitarian Organisations in Tunisia's Migration Context

By Laura

Liberation from arbitrary detention. On the night of January 6th, 2026, Sherifa Riahi, former director of the NGO Terre d’Asile, and several of her colleagues were liberated after spending more than twenty months in jail in Tunisia. The humanitarian workers, held in provisional detention, had been accused of “facilitating the illegal entry and stay of migrants”  in the North African country. According to the organisation’s webpage, however, the Tunisian branch of the French NGO operates in the country supporting migrants and asylum seekers through shelter, legal assistance, and social aid. 


Humanitarian action in a shifting migration context. Historically, Tunisia has been both a country of transit and a destination for migrants, but in recent years, migration has become a controversial issue. In February 2023, Tunisian President Kais Saied publicly stated that migrants from sub-Saharan Africa entering the country illegally posed a demographic threat to the Arab-majority country. In the previous years, civil society organisations have also been increasingly portrayed as complicit in irregular migration.


Conditions of detention in Tunisia. Several organisations have raised alarms about the degrading situation in Tunisian prisons. A recent report published by the Tunisian Human Rights League warns about the increasing overcrowding, inhumane conditions, and institutionalized violence experienced in prisons, describing cells so cramped, unsanitary, and violent that they undermine basic human dignity.

Saudi Arabia Gains Hegemony in Yemen and Inherits a Secessionist Regime

By Michele

An escalation of tensions. Secessionist aspirations shook Yemen’s internal balance in late December 2025, as simmering tensions between the Southern Transitional Council (STC) and the Presidential Leadership Council (PLC)—and the two factions’ sponsors, Abu Dhabi and Riyadh respectively—escalated unexpectedly. At the beginning of December, the STC made a territorial push for control in the country’s central regions controlled by the PLC, announcing its intent to secede and a constitutional declaration on January 2nd. 


The crisis was contained. The rapid territorial gains and Abu Dhabi’s support made Southern Yemeni Independence seem achievable. However, Saudi Arabia’s swift intervention through airstrikes in Mukalla on December 30th and, most importantly, the shifting allegiance of armed factions that are key to Yemen’s balance of power, led to a collapse of STC lines and prompted the council’s leader, Al-Zubaidi, to flee to the UAE, while a Southern delegation reached Riyadh for talks, after which the STC’s dissolution was declared.


Yemen’s stability is again fragile. The precipitation of relations between Riyadh and Abu Dhabi, two formerly close strategic partners, was unexpectedly sudden but long in the works, as divergent regional ambitions have pitted the two monarchies against each other. In Yemen, tensions revolve around Southern aspirations to regain the independence lost in 1990, fueled by grievances against the exploitation of Southern resources by Sana’a’s central government. As major Southern protests on January 16th indicate, Saudi Arabia will have to manage the secessionist sentiment if it wants to consolidate its gains in Yemen.

Shifting Lines in Syria

By Beyza

A ceasefire shaped by stalemate. Clashes in Aleppo followed the collapse of March 2025 negotiations aimed at integrating Kurdish forces into Syria’s new political framework. A renewed ceasefire and integration deal between Damascus and the US-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) eventually halted the fighting, but on terms widely seen as unfavorable to the SDF. Days earlier, Syrian forces had declared several Kurdish-held areas “closed military zones,” a move the SDF said was intended to displace civilians rather than address security concerns.


Resources and reluctant concessions. The agreement extends beyond military arrangements to control over strategic assets. It provides for the transfer of border crossings, oil and gas fields, and detention sites holding Islamic State fighters and affiliated civilians. SDF leadership has since confirmed a withdrawal from two Arab-majority provinces, marking a broader retreat. Although US forces remain in northeastern Syria to support counter-IS operations and safeguard key energy sites, Kurdish leverage on the ground is narrowing. 


Türkiye’s security and energy calculus. The ceasefire was mediated by the U.S. and other actors amid concerns that prolonged fighting could draw Türkiye more directly into the conflict. The deal requires the SDF to expel non-Syrian figures linked to the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK), aligning with Ankara’s security priorities. This coincides with Türkiye’s plans to pursue an offshore energy exploration agreement with Syria in 2026.


Shifting regional lines. As Israel, Greece, and Cyprus consolidate an increasingly exclusive energy and security axis, Ankara’s engagement with Damascus reads less as ambition than as adaptation. The prospect of Syria-Türkiye energy cooperation highlights how exclusionary regional alignments are reshaping partnerships, pushing fragile neighbors toward pragmatic, if uneasy, accommodation.

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Now, a bit of culture…


From literature to music, movies, visual arts, and digital products, MENA artists and creators offer windows into the region’s societies and daily realities. Every edition, this section sheds light on a different cultural insight: a work, a voice, or a trend that spotlights the region’s stories and perspectives. Have a recommendation? We’d love to hear from you, just reply to this email!


This time, we turn to Iran’s epic literature, with a cornerstone of Iranian culture and identity.



Abu al-Qasem Ferdowsi (c. 940–1020) was one of the greatest Persian poets of all time and the author of the Shahnameh (“The Book of Kings”). He spent over thirty years composing this monumental epic in Persian, preserving Iran’s pre-Islamic history, mythology, and cultural memory at a time when much of it risked being lost. Ferdowsi is regarded not only as a poet but also as a guardian of Iranian identity, language, and historical consciousness.


The Shahnameh portrays larger-than-life heroes like Rostam, who embodies strength, loyalty, and sacrifice. Yet these stories are not only about ancient battles and mythical creatures; they explore resistance against injustice, loyalty to truth, and the moral weight of choice in times of crisis. Ferdowsi’s heroes are constantly tested by tyranny, internal decay, and the suffering of the innocent. In this sense, the Shahnameh speaks across centuries: framing heroism not merely as physical power, but as endurance, ethical responsibility, and the refusal to surrender one’s humanity. Ultimately, it is about preserving dignity and identity through struggle.





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See you in two weeks, inshallah!

The Observatory







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